![]() Joe Biden's reason for not shooting down balloon raises questionsĬhina hasn't fought a war since the 1970s, and "nobody has fought the type of war" that strategists believe is necessary for Beijing to invade and also occupy Taiwan, Kahl said.Secret Chinese spy balloon under Donald Trump passed through these states.China's spy balloon was 200 ft tall, carried payload the size of a jet.deterrence has been effective at taking the military option off the table. "They are investing in capabilities that might at some point enable an amphibious invasion of Taiwan," he said. Kahl, who late last year also dismissed the probability of cross-strait conflict in the next few years, said China's military modernization was aimed primarily at countering American capabilities within the first island chain. officials to predict a flashpoint in the Taiwan Strait by the middle of the decade. The impasse has led a number of high-profile current and former U.S. The general's attempt to privately galvanize his staff with a sense of urgency was backed by Republican leaders in Congress.īeijing has for decades said Taiwan is part of its territory, while Taipei strongly rejects the sovereignty claims. being distracted by its own election later that year. Minihan's comments, which the Department of Defense said didn't represent the official running assessment, were based on the likelihood of Beijing reacting to an unfavorable outcome in Taiwan's presidential election in January 2024, and the possibility of the U.S. In an interview released on February 6, 2023, Pentagon policy chief Colin Kahl said Chinese leader Xi likely had yet to make a decision about whether to conduct an invasion of Taiwan. President Xi Jinping of China attends the opening of the G20 summit in Nusa Dua on the Indonesian resort island of Bali on November 15, 2022. ![]() Air Force's Air Mobility Command, who said last month in a leaked internal memo: "I hope I am wrong. It was a different view from that offered by Gen. The Pentagon official's view was recorded on January 31, before the Chinese high-altitude balloon saga that occupied minds in Washington, according to Defense News, one of the show's publishers. "I see nothing that indicates that Xi Jinping believes his military is ready to do this." "My view: I don't see anything that indicates that this thing is imminent in the next couple of years," Colin Kahl, the undersecretary of defense for policy, told the national security-themed Early Bird Brief podcast in an episode released on Monday.Ĭhina's president may not have made a decision about whether to undertake the risky campaign, Kahl said. A conflict between China and Taiwan isn't likely in the near term, the Pentagon's top policy official has said, citing the United States' continuing military supremacy and Beijing's lack of readiness. ![]()
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